Investigating the Effect of Official Institutions in Isfahan Metropolitan City on the Feasibility of Strategic Planning Through a Futures Studies Approach

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Department of Urbanism, Najafabad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran

2 Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Art, Architecture and Urban Planning, Najafabad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran

3 Department of Geography, Tourism Research Center, Urban Planning, Najafabad branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran

10.22059/jtcp.2025.384074.670476

Abstract

Cultivating new development paths in urban areas requires a strategic planning process. Strategic planning is considered as one of the executive steps of futures research through the presence of citizens, their participation, and their awareness raising in different fields. In this sense, futures research is not a substitute for strategic planning; rather its content upon which the strategy is formulated is of importance. This research is applied in terms of its purpose, and descriptive-analytical research in terms of its methodology. By studying the theoretical foundations and using the Delphi method, influential indicators and variables in strategic planning in the form of 4 general dimensions (physical, socio-cultural, institutional management, and structural-process), and 39 items or sub-indices were extracted. The analysis of the data collected in the current research was done using statistical tests, such as cross-effects analysis and structural equations, GWR tool from the spatial statistics collection, etc., using Micmac, Smart PLS, GIS, and SPSS software. The results of modeling the effects of official institutions on the futures research indicated that "transparency of goals, policies, and official and unofficial instructions of the organization" have the greatest contributions to the direct and indirect effectiveness of futures research in Isfahan. Furthermore, the results of the effective spatial analysis on the expansion of strategic planning in the city of Isfahan showed that the managerial-institutional dimension would have significant effects on the expansion of strategic planning in this city, and the socio-cultural index is among the most important indicators influencing strategic planning at the level of this city.

Keywords

Main Subjects


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Volume 16, Issue 2
Autumn & Winter
October 2024
Pages 269-283
  • Receive Date: 01 November 2024
  • Revise Date: 25 December 2024
  • Accept Date: 13 January 2025