Assessment of the Potential for Establishing Coastal Cities from a Spatial Planning Perspective ( Case Study: Makran Coasts)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Iran

2 Department of Human Geography and Planning, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

10.22059/jtcp.2024.374373.670445

Abstract

The Makran coasts in southern Iran are one of the strategic coastal areas in the southwest Asia region, which hold significant importance not only for Iran but also for neighboring countries and powerful nations such as China, Russia, and European countries. Unfortunately, the issue of spatial planning and sustainable development in this region has not received special attention. Therefore, the aim of this research is to assess the potential for the establishment of coastal cities on the Makran coasts from a spatial planning perspective.

To answer the research question, 10 indicators were used, including temperature, distance from roads, rainfall, distance from faults, proximity to human settlements, elevation, distance from flood risk areas, land use, slope, and proximity to the coast for zoning and establishing cities from a spatial planning perspective. The data analysis was conducted using the AHP method and Weighted Overlay in ArcGIS and Choice Expert software.

The research results indicate that, overall, the western part of the study area, compared to the eastern part, has more stability and potential for the creation and development of coastal cities, exhibiting relatively good to very good stability. Considering the proposed density of 2000 to 4000 people per square kilometer for the coastal regions of southern Iran, which have a hot and humid climate, a desirable area with an expanse of 2079 square kilometers can accommodate a population of over 4,158,000 people.The findings of this research can contribute to the sustainable development of the Makran coasts, optimal establishment of cities, and assist local governments in progressing towards sustainable development in coastal-port cities.

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 12 June 2024
  • Receive Date: 06 April 2024
  • Revise Date: 31 May 2024
  • Accept Date: 12 June 2024