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Department of Urban & Regional Planning, Faculty of Art & Architecture, Shiraz University
10.22059/jtcp.2025.403740.670528
Abstract
This research aimed to analyze land cover and land use changes in the Lar-Evaz communication axis during the period 2004 to 2024 and to investigate the factors affecting these changes. To achieve the research objectives, Landsat 7 and 8 satellite images (ETM+ and OLI sensors) were used, and land cover and land use classification was performed using the maximum likelihood method for the years 2004, 2014, and 2024 in ENVI 5.6 software. The kappa coefficient was evaluated to examine the accuracy of the maps as 94%, 97%, and 96%, respectively, and then the changes that occurred were examined using the post-classification comparison method. In the next step, to examine the factors affecting the occurrence of changes, the logistic regression model was used in the TerrSet software, and the parameters under study were examined as independent variables, including: altitude, land slope, proximity to roads, proximity to residential centers, and proximity to water sources (water wells). The results showed that barren lands decreased by 46.9% over a 20-year period, from 276.0005 km² in 2004 to 249.89 km² in 2024. The largest changes were related to built-up areas, which increased from 7656.35 km² in 2004 to 4785.60 km² in 2024, a growth of 69.1%. The vegetation cover of the region has also increased by about 47.3%, from 2879.40 km² in 2004 to 6851.41 km² in 2024. In examining the factors affecting the occurrence of changes using the logistic regression model, it was found that proximity to water sources (wells), slope, and proximity to the road had the greatest impact on causing changes in the Lar-Evaz region. The evaluation of the logistic regression model with ROC and Pseudo-R² indices of 0.939 and 0.426, respectively, indicated the high capability of the model in describing changes and determining areas susceptible to change.
Taghavi Fard, F. , Arasteh, M. and Izady, H. (2025). Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Corridor of Larestan-Evaz using Spatial Analysis Techniques by RS and GIS. Town and Country Planning, (), -. doi: 10.22059/jtcp.2025.403740.670528
MLA
Taghavi Fard, F. , , Arasteh, M. , and Izady, H. . "Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Corridor of Larestan-Evaz using Spatial Analysis Techniques by RS and GIS", Town and Country Planning, , , 2025, -. doi: 10.22059/jtcp.2025.403740.670528
HARVARD
Taghavi Fard, F., Arasteh, M., Izady, H. (2025). 'Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Corridor of Larestan-Evaz using Spatial Analysis Techniques by RS and GIS', Town and Country Planning, (), pp. -. doi: 10.22059/jtcp.2025.403740.670528
CHICAGO
F. Taghavi Fard , M. Arasteh and H. Izady, "Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Corridor of Larestan-Evaz using Spatial Analysis Techniques by RS and GIS," Town and Country Planning, (2025): -, doi: 10.22059/jtcp.2025.403740.670528
VANCOUVER
Taghavi Fard, F., Arasteh, M., Izady, H. Analysis of Land Cover Changes in Corridor of Larestan-Evaz using Spatial Analysis Techniques by RS and GIS. Town and Country Planning, 2025; (): -. doi: 10.22059/jtcp.2025.403740.670528
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